tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post8826771578399886766..comments2024-03-23T12:05:13.464-07:00Comments on Ideas: Four Possible TrumpsDavid Friedmanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06543763515095867595noreply@blogger.comBlogger31125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-83159876859756935872016-12-27T17:23:37.815-08:002016-12-27T17:23:37.815-08:00This is what I think, if Trump and the Republican ...This is what I think, if Trump and the Republican congress can get a VAT like tax in that taxes imports more than exports, retail becomes more expensive for the average Joe. This means that the average Joe has less money for going to restaurants and hotels. The biggest employer of most illegal immigrants are restaurants and hotels, if profits dropped in that industry this means many immigrants here illegality will return home like they did when the housing bust happen.Also, the 2020's is the last decade that Mexico will have young workers coming to the states since the birthrate in Mexico has decline a lot its now about 2.0 and by 2025 it will probably be 1.6 which happens as developing countries advance a little. This has happen in most South America counties. By the 2028 election, immigration and trade will be a thing of the past will Republicans because the Latin immigration and even some Asian immigration will start to drop more. The main problem is very poor countries like the African countries which have also caused the rise of the European right and Africans are coming in through Tijunia.cinc210https://www.blogger.com/profile/07356093909391087173noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-23309010657831597942016-11-21T07:26:14.666-08:002016-11-21T07:26:14.666-08:00StatelessLiberty:
I suspect that cellphone video ...StatelessLiberty:<br /><br />I suspect that cellphone video and Youtube had at least as much to do with the worsening of race relations under Obama as any actions of Obama's. The technology changed in a way that made police misconduct visible, where it had previously been invisible to most people. <br /><br />Similarly, though Trump has benefitted to some extent from the rise of white nationalist types, the big driver of their rise has been the internet, which got rid of the gatekeepers who could previously decide that such ideas were simply not going to be widely visible. albatrossnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-35660000132195242122016-11-20T08:00:15.636-08:002016-11-20T08:00:15.636-08:00P.S. I was referring mainly to Jeff Dorsai's c...P.S. I was referring mainly to Jeff Dorsai's comment.Jonathanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15661031964537092605noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-90085946612098150202016-11-20T07:58:02.218-08:002016-11-20T07:58:02.218-08:00Ha, David Friedman the Tolerant rides again. Anyon...Ha, David Friedman the Tolerant rides again. Anyone trying to insult me on my own blog or Facebook page is likely to get deleted straight off it, because I'm not interested in having conversations with rude people. But to our kindly host it's all water off a duck's back, apparently.Jonathanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15661031964537092605noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-42278592766173033932016-11-18T15:26:20.039-08:002016-11-18T15:26:20.039-08:00CCubed:
Did you read both my post and Scott's...CCubed:<br /><br />Did you read both my post and Scott's that you refer to? <br /><br />His was arguing, probably correctly, that claims that Trump was a blatant racist are unsupported by the evidence. Mine has nothing to do with such claims.David Friedmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06543763515095867595noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-26660047680915460812016-11-18T08:17:02.436-08:002016-11-18T08:17:02.436-08:00@CCubed, can you point to anything at all in David...@CCubed, can you point to anything at all in David's post that relates to Scott's objection? As with the virtue signaling comment, your comment strikes me as bizarre and entirely unrelated to the content of blog post.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-18638420375795287392016-11-18T07:45:47.300-08:002016-11-18T07:45:47.300-08:00As Scott Alexander has pointed out, you're STI...As Scott Alexander has pointed out, you're STILL crying "Wolf!"<br /><br />Your visceral rejection of Trump without much thought has, for me, discredited all your work.<br />CCubedhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09857086025354354185noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-10437891885812287352016-11-16T16:41:28.500-08:002016-11-16T16:41:28.500-08:00I would like to see #1. Not doing anything about i...I would like to see #1. Not doing anything about illegal immigration has been, and will continue to be, a disaster for the nation.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09601839714776855897noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-17765847392323908572016-11-15T13:39:59.197-08:002016-11-15T13:39:59.197-08:00@Steve that makes sense only if you think he won t...@Steve that makes sense only if you think he won the presidency by sheer luck. I think that is very unlikely. Otherwise, he realizes that such policy would cost him votes everywhere. Nobody wants an erratic president with no recognizable policy. So whatever he will end up doing, I think it is unlikely he'll be erratic. He might be like that in his rhetoric, continuing the style of his campaign to some extent, because that brought him his voters after all. Still, I think they'd get tired of it after a while too - when you actually have the power you cannot tell people random stuff and then do the opposite, or at least not too often and too obviously, since they will eventually take notice.Tiborhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06909198697863768859noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-3302817756814743042016-11-15T10:44:12.301-08:002016-11-15T10:44:12.301-08:00@David- I think a lot of the dot-com boom was capi...@David- I think a lot of the dot-com boom was capital flight from other industries broken by the Democrats- cars, steel, light aircraft, even Bell Labs. When the Clintons took a half-billion dollar bribe from Microsoft's competitors to sic the Justice Department on Microsoft they broke the boom. Which, as you say, had bubble aspects already. Like every boom. Brucenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-26025464267461708642016-11-15T04:16:46.389-08:002016-11-15T04:16:46.389-08:00@Bruce
I'm really curious what train of logic...@Bruce<br /><br />I'm really curious what train of logic makes you think microsofts troubles have to do with the dot com bubble popping. That bubble was going to pop no matter what when there were numerous companies who's "programmers" were teenagers given jobs because they had a thin grasp of HTML. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01890113057778624636noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-66188739416056235222016-11-15T03:28:35.655-08:002016-11-15T03:28:35.655-08:00How about Trump #0? Completely Erratic and Unpred...How about Trump #0? Completely Erratic and Unpredictable Trump?Steve Muhlbergerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18136005762428407135noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-78188826912037214692016-11-14T19:34:35.790-08:002016-11-14T19:34:35.790-08:00Isn't that #2?Isn't that #2?Doctor Mistnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-18844842413319158452016-11-14T18:28:51.612-08:002016-11-14T18:28:51.612-08:00>"his decision to inflame racial tension i...>"his decision to inflame racial tension in America"<br />Remind me, how many race riots have there been under Obama? Over the past few years we have witnessed the left push an aggressive, fundamentalist anti-white identity politics like never seen before. Have you thought maybe that Trump is a <i>reaction</i> to this, not the initiator? Racial tensions are always blamed on the defensiveness of whites rather than the aggression of the activists. The solution always being for whites to be more submissive and activists more aggressive, like a medieval doctor who keeps prescribing more and more bloodletting even when the patient's condition gets worse and worse.<br /><br />Also if you think Trump supporters go around assaulting and intimidating Hillary supporters, rather than it being overwhelmingly the other way round, then you've really drunk the media's koolaid.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10165090620393141519noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-49509356624494515992016-11-14T16:39:04.017-08:002016-11-14T16:39:04.017-08:00Or maybe Trump really will pursue the ideologies a...Or maybe Trump really will pursue the ideologies and positions that he has clearly and forcefully presented.Rogerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03474078324293158376noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-2579811975010670892016-11-14T15:59:46.654-08:002016-11-14T15:59:46.654-08:00I'm astonished that you can write an article a...I'm astonished that you can write an article about the future of Trump without even bringing up either his decision to inflame racial tension in America or his flirtations with autocracy. It doesn't matter how many good policy ideas he implements if he leaves behind a country where it's OK to assault and intimidate people who aren't like you. In the same way, while I'm liberal I find "Hillary+" the most frightening option of all. If Trump implements policies that win broad support it would give him great cover to undermine democratic institutions. Option 1 would lead to a vicious fight for the future of the country; I could see option 4 allowing him to take over the country without fighting.Pastor Alanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02636328925170699124noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-77288521030787585702016-11-14T12:03:01.147-08:002016-11-14T12:03:01.147-08:00I will go with Andrew Jackson, but not with FDR (o...I will go with Andrew Jackson, but not with FDR (or Woodrow Wilson, one of the other great villains of American history). Try William Jennings Bryan, the big populist hero of a century ago. Not least because he seems to have been equally ignorant of economics.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-26501204080525912162016-11-14T09:56:52.722-08:002016-11-14T09:56:52.722-08:00Obviously you think that 3 would be best and 1 wou...Obviously you think that 3 would be best and 1 would be worst, but I am curious about how you would rank 2 vs 4?jaimeastorga2000https://www.blogger.com/profile/13420316020530366556noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-70484831276721188602016-11-14T09:20:20.853-08:002016-11-14T09:20:20.853-08:00I figure we won't see the worst of Trump until...I figure we won't see the worst of Trump until 2020. That's when he'll have to do something to boost his popularity before the election. Think Nixon at his most devious times 100.Maxnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-45485104422761890812016-11-14T07:45:53.375-08:002016-11-14T07:45:53.375-08:00I don't think Trump cares about policy. He jus...I don't think Trump cares about policy. He just cares about self-promotion. So maybe he will not do much of anything, just go around making public appearances, and tell Mike Pence to do all the work.Mike Huemernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-38249737004334302372016-11-14T06:56:52.555-08:002016-11-14T06:56:52.555-08:00Why would the "Virtuous Traitor" option ...Why would the "Virtuous Traitor" option be more likely than simply "Traitor" - going back on both the "good" and the "bad" promises? He seems to have backed down from the idea of rounding up over 10 million illegal immigrants, saying he will focus on the criminals only (2-3 million), and might consider letting the exceptionally virtuous ones stay legally. On the other hand, he said he might keep certain anti-market clauses from Obamacare. <br />His great-sounding anti-corruption promises had no chance of passing (what legislative body would ever vote on banning politicians from serving as lobbyists, or voting on scrapping two existing regulations for every new regulations???)<br />What makes you think he'd only go back on the "bad" promises?TheVidrahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09344788573052372170noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-78972514131755268522016-11-14T06:47:47.083-08:002016-11-14T06:47:47.083-08:00Yes, but Trump would spell it wrong in the declara...Yes, but Trump would spell it wrong in the declaration of war.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-75429714060618414942016-11-14T06:47:39.970-08:002016-11-14T06:47:39.970-08:00I really hope your misspelling of Kyrgyzstan (land...I really hope your misspelling of Kyrgyzstan (land of the Kyrgyz people) was a subtle joke, professor.TheVidrahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09344788573052372170noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-14826732967913137072016-11-14T06:44:15.608-08:002016-11-14T06:44:15.608-08:00Trump also reminds me of Andrew Jackson. Jackson&...Trump also reminds me of Andrew Jackson. Jackson's war on the Second Bank of the United States had similar implications of fighting for the common man, against coastal elites and vague corrupt financial schemes. Andrew Jackson also removed the Cherokees from their geographical area, which is mirrored by Trump's rhetoric about immigrants. The one major difference between Jackson and Trump is that one was a military figure, and the other is the best salesman in the world. Once Trump has closed the sale, we don't know if he will follow through the implementation with the same passion - he seems to relish the sales and self-promotional aspect of his activity a lot more.TheVidrahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09344788573052372170noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19727420.post-55141038402227826732016-11-13T21:50:35.953-08:002016-11-13T21:50:35.953-08:00He reminds me rather of Andrew Jackson and FDR. Th...He reminds me rather of Andrew Jackson and FDR. The same feeling of an overwhelming, ruthless, rule-breaking drive. Also the same populism and "but nobody could ever elect him!" as Jackson.Bill Friedmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02566534202677139949noreply@blogger.com